Prediksi Konsumsi Listrik Bangunan Menggunakan Metode Moving Average Dan Linier Regression

T. Iqbal Faridiansyah, Selamat Meliala, Asran Asran

Abstract


Persoalan untuk memperoleh prediksi yang akurat dari konsumsi listrik telah banyak dibahas oleh banyak peneliti-peneliti sebelumnya. Berbagai teknik telah digunakan seperti metode statistik, time-series, metode heuristik dan banyak lagi. Apapun teknik yang digunakan, akurasi prediksi tergantung pada ketersediaan data historis serta pemilhan data yang tepat. Bahkan data yang kompleks, harus dipilih sehingga akurasi prediksi dapat ditingkatkan. Paper ini menggunakan data historis sebagai penelitian untuk menguji data historis konsumsi listrik bangunan. Metode Moving Average (MA) dan Linier Regression (LR) digunakan untuk membandingkan ketepatan akurasi perkiraan. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan ketetapan akurasi
prediksi menggunakan metode Moving Average (MA) lebih baik dibandingkan menggunakan metode Linier Regression.

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