SIMULASI PENGENDALIAN PERSEDIAAN ALAT TULIS KANTOR PADA DINAS PERKEBUNAN DAN PETERNAKAN PROVINSI SUMATERA UTARA DENGAN METODE MONTE CARLO

Rina Filia Sari, Rima Aprilia, Rina Widyasari, Afnaria Afnaria, Syech Suhaimi, Chindy Aulia Putri

Abstract


In a Government Agency, office stationery supplies are an absolute necessity. The provision of adequate office stationery will facilitate performance. This study aims to predict the demand for office stationery using Monte Carlo Simulation. Monte Carlo is a numerical analysis method that uses random number samples. The data used in this study are primary data in the form of the number of stock items and the number of requests for goods from January to December 2023. The accuracy result using the Monte Carlo method for Year 2024 is 91.78%. This shows that the Monte Carlo method simulation can be used to predict the demand for stationery for the following year.


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